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Bill Gates sees processor clock speeds to top out at 10 GHz
Trendwatch
Redmond (WA) – Less than a year from his previously announced departure from the
company he co-founded, the Bill Gates today outlined his vision and
opportunities for Microsoft.
According to Gates, there are currently six trends, which will be determining
Microsoft and its product strategy for the years to come. In a rather unusual
way, he mentioned the dramatic changes in the way the hardware engines that will
be fueling new applications are engineered.
The fact that performance advances have shifted from a pure increase of clock
speed to increased parallelism was described by Gates as a “challenge”. He
believes that “parallel execution will be the primary way silicon power will be
delivered” down the road and not so much the fact that there is more clock speed
available. According to Gates, microprocessors will get to 10 GHz, “but not much
further” (…) “even 5 to 6 years out.”
Interestingly, Gates mentioned only Intel by name as a partner in the approach
to deliver fine-tuned, parallel code.
The ubiquity of broadband was next in line in Gates’ vision, with opportunities
that go beyond simple web surfing but provide distributed computing capabilities
for many more users than today – through “mega datacenters that companies such
as Microsoft will build.” Broadband also extends to additional opportunities
such as off-site storage technologies to provide more reliable backup solutions
for users, as well as connected mobile devices and enhanced information devices.
Lastly, Gates spent some time on natural user interfaces, which he considers
“one of the most revolutionary things going on” and Microsoft apparently will be
spending more time on. A “Surface” device was briefly demonstrated with future
applications – but in terms of a current success in natural user interfaces,
Gates had to point to competitor’s products: Nintendo’s Wii game console as well
as Apple’s iPhone.

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Last updated on:13/09/2008
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